Home AI and alignment Economics Other About Menu Home AI and alignment Economics Other About Forecasting Update February 15, 2023 Assorted Links #3 February 7, 2023 Binding Aliens to Silicon January 26, 2023 Post-mortem for my 2022 Predictions January 11, 2023 Predictions 2023 January 4, 2023 Assorted Links #2 December 29, 2022 Assorted Links #1 November 2, 2022 Nuclear Risk Forecasting October 5, 2022 Change to the blog August 5, 2022 The Future of Short-Term Labor May 31, 2022 Updating Forecasts in Light of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine February 28, 2022 2022 Predictions January 4, 2022 Have You Grasped the Sword? June 16, 2021 Making Sense of UFOs May 26, 2021 The Fermi Paradox, Grabby Aliens, and Reasoning March 12, 2021 A Collective Call for Decentralization February 5, 2021 Reasons for a Cautious Optimism December 4, 2020 Currently Reading November 18, 2020 The Consumer Society November 10, 2020 Is History Receding? October 27, 2020 What can Explain Sweden’s Debacle? September 20, 2020 What’s Been on my Mind July 11, 2020 Ideas, Thoughts and (some of) their Properties June 25, 2020 The Revolt of the People May 26, 2020 Humility Regarding Strategy May 8, 2020 Some Reading Tips March 28, 2020 Corona Fears, and why Action is to be Preferred February 28, 2020 First Post February 10, 2020